UFC 109 Predictions

ufc 109 poster UFC 109 Predictions

This card should have been free but Dana White and company wants your money so it’s on PPV.  Here’s my predictions:

Randy Couture vs. Mark Coleman
Yes folks, this is the maint event.  Two old legendary wrestlers duking it out at 205.  In Couture’s last fight, against the boring Brandon Vera, it looked like age finally caught up to him.  Couture was slow and sloppy.  While Coleman is old, he looked dominating against Stephan Bonnar and won via ground and pound.  They’re both great wrestlers but Couture will win this because of his superior striking.  Coleman might get a couple of takedowns but it won’t be enough to get him the decision.  Expect a boring fight.
Prediction: Couture

Nate Marquardt vs. Chael Sonnen
Sonnen’s claim to fame was his win against Paulo Filho in WEC.  He has improved ever since joining the UFC but Marquardt will be too much.  Marquardt has better stand up skills and his submissions are impressive.  Sonnen’s only chance in this fight is to ground and pound.  Marquardt will get a submission in the second round after getting Sonnen dazed.
Prediction: Sonnen

Mike Swick vs. Paulo Thiago
The Swickatine bandwagon got derailed because he lost to Dan Hardy but this should be an easy fight for him.  Paulo Thiago is good on the ground and for a bjj practitioner, his hands are pretty heavy.  Expect this fight to be a stand up because Swick will avoid the takedowns.  Swick will win by TKO in the third round.
Predction: Swick

Demian Maia vs. Dan Miller
BJJ great Demian Maia will have his hands full against Dan Miller.  Maia lost his last fight in violent fashion thanks to Marquardt.  Will see if he can recover and have better hands.  Miller’s chance in this fight is a TKO.  If it goes to the ground, it’s over for Miller. Maia will go for takedowns and catch Miller with a submission in the second round.
Prediction: Maia

Matt Serra vs. Frank Trigg
This is a better matchup for Trigg than his previous fight, when he got ko’d be Josh Koscheck.  Matt Serra sucks at sprawling so Trigg should have no problem with the takedowns.  The problem will be Trigg’s cardio.  Trigg will dominate the first round only to gas in the second round and lose in the third via rear naked choke, a move he doesn’t know how to defend.
Prediction: Serra

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